Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.005325 0.005624 0.005933 0.006278 0.006652 0.007046 0.007494
2025-12-21 0.004678 0.005096 0.005547 0.006074 0.006675 0.007342 0.008146
2025-12-28 0.004388 0.004880 0.005430 0.006093 0.006877 0.007784 0.008923
2026-01-04 0.004201 0.004752 0.005383 0.006164 0.007119 0.008259 0.009749
2026-01-11 0.003988 0.004573 0.005254 0.006119 0.007200 0.008531 0.010327
2026-01-18 0.003825 0.004438 0.005166 0.006106 0.007311 0.008833 0.010953
2026-01-25 0.003664 0.004294 0.005054 0.006053 0.007359 0.009048 0.011467
2026-02-01 0.003601 0.004267 0.005081 0.006173 0.007632 0.009568 0.012431
2026-02-08 0.003482 0.004160 0.005002 0.006147 0.007706 0.009819 0.013026
2026-02-15 0.003382 0.004074 0.004943 0.006142 0.007803 0.010102 0.013685
2026-02-22 0.003258 0.003950 0.004829 0.006056 0.007780 0.010210 0.014084
2026-03-01 0.003146 0.003839 0.004726 0.005978 0.007763 0.010321 0.014490
2026-03-08 0.003066 0.003766 0.004672 0.005967 0.007842 0.010580 0.015156
2026-03-15 0.002922 0.003605 0.004495 0.005777 0.007651 0.010422 0.015131
2026-03-22 0.002865 0.003557 0.004467 0.005795 0.007765 0.010734 0.015909
2026-03-29 0.002828 0.003535 0.004474 0.005862 0.007954 0.011172 0.016939
2026-04-05 0.002756 0.003462 0.004408 0.005819 0.007973 0.011338 0.017503
2026-04-12 0.002698 0.003407 0.004365 0.005807 0.008038 0.011582 0.018226
2026-04-19 0.002631 0.003338 0.004298 0.005758 0.008040 0.011719 0.018761
2026-04-26 0.002619 0.003344 0.004339 0.005870 0.008302 0.012310 0.020220
2026-05-03 0.002566 0.003290 0.004292 0.005846 0.008344 0.012522 0.020955
2026-05-10 0.002521 0.003247 0.004258 0.005841 0.008415 0.012790 0.021828
2026-05-17 0.002456 0.003174 0.004178 0.005761 0.008358 0.012823 0.022210